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Botafogo VS Grêmio

Botafogo vs Grêmio

Botafogo
Botafogo
  • 0 - 1
  • Played

Grêmio

Preview
Botafogo and Grêmio face at Estádio Nilton Santos, in a match for the 9th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 28‑04‑2018, Botafogo won by (2‑1). Brenner (36' ) and Gilson (90' ) scored for Botafogo and Igor Rabello (38' Autogolo) for Grêmio. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Botafogo

The home team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 5 wins and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Vasco da Gama, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against CSA, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 10 conceded. Botafogo has won 8 and tied 2 of the last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 15 matches, but have been able to turn the score around in 3.

Botafogo are making a great and surprising campaign in Série A, having won 5 of their last 6 games and are looking for another positive result to remain among the top-placed. The team's main feature is the good strength of their defensive sector that has only conceded 6 goals in 7 games, being the fourth best of the competition, while the attack can still improve, having scored only 8 goals and is the eighth worst in the league. 
Playing at home, as the match on Wednesday, Botafogo won all three of their games so far and did not concede goals in 2 of them, showing again their defensive strength, especially at their stadium where they leave few spaces and allow few finalization to the opponents.
For the game against Grêmio, coach Eduardo Barroca goes on the pitch with the same team that beat CSA away from home in the last round.

Confirmed Lineup: Diego Cavalieri, Gabriel, Fernando Costanza, Gilson, J. Carli, Alex Santana, João Paulo, Luiz Fernando, Diego Souza, Cícero, Erik.
Coach: Alberto Valentim.

Analysis of Grêmio

The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 8 points won, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Bahia, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Fortaleza, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 7 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 4 away league matches Grêmio has a record of 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 56 of the last 76 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals.

Grêmio's campaign in this Série A is well below expectations, but the team have been showing signs of improvement, having won 2 of the last 3 games and are looking for 3 more points in the last match before the Copa America. The visitors need to be more efficient in both the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored only 9 goals in 8 games, being the tenth worst attack of the league, and suffered 11 goals, being the sixth worst defense, something of concern for the team that have a defensive sector of enormous quality and that need to find their best football. 
Playing away from home, as the match on Wednesday, Grêmio have not yet won, having registered 2 draws and 2 losses and have the third worst attack with only 2 goals scored in these 4 games, in 2 of them did not score goals and in another 2, scored only 2 goals in each. 
For the match against Botafogo, coach Renato Gaucho will not be able to count on defender Kannemann because of injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Paulo Victor, Juninho Capixaba, Léo Gomes, Rodrigues, Michel, Rômulo, Thaciano, Jean Pyerre, Diego Tardelli, Felipe Vizeu, Alisson.
Coach: Renato Gaúcho.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the occurrence of few goals. Botafogo have a good quality defense that is among the best of the league and did not concede goals in 2 of the 3 games they played away from home. Grêmio, meanwhile, have scored only 2 goals in all four of their away games, and have not scored goals in two of those games, being a team that have struggled to create opportunities away from home. In addition, Botafogo know that they can not expose themselves much due to the speed of Grêmio that are very efficient in the counterattacks, so they must adopt a more cautious posture. Given these factors, we believe in a game of aggressive pressing, low offensive volume and a maximum of 2 goals on the scoreboard.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 109 Place your bet
Gremio 18%
Botafogo 52%
The Draw 30%
Over/Under 2.5 goals 22 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Half Time 42 Place your bet
Gremio 21%
The Draw 54%
Botafogo 25%
First Half Goals 14 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 79%
Under 0.5 Goals 21%
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 29 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 10%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 6 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 8 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 5.5 Goals 100%
Over 5.5 Goals 0%
Both teams to Score? 24 Place your bet
No 25%
Yes 75%
Half With Most Goals 8 Place your bet
1st Half 25%
Tie 0%
2nd Half 75%
Second Half 0%
Odd or Even Total Goals 2 Place your bet
Odd 0%
Even 100%
First Half Goals 1.5 17 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 24%
Under 1.5 Goals 76%
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Betting Academy Singapore.
 

Serie A - 2019

  • 68% 257 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 50.19%
  • Draws 25.68%
  • Away team wins 24.12%
  • Over 1.5 62.65%
  • Over 2.5 39.69%
  • Over 3.5 18.68%
  • Goals 577
  • Goals /match 2.25
  • Goals /match home 1.36
  • Goals /match away 0.88
  • Both teams score 45.14%
  • Goals after 80' 19.24%
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