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São Paulo Palmeiras betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the occurrence of few goals. Both teams have high quality defensive systems that are among the best of the competition, so much so that the hosts suffered only 5 goals in 9 rounds while the visitors conceded only 2 goals in 9 games. In addition, São Paulo have a low-income offensive system, having scored on average less than 1 goal per game and all of their home matches had a maximum of 2 goals on the scoreboard, while Palmeiras did not concede goals in 2 of the 4 games they played away from home and in 2 others they conceded only 1 goal in each. Given these factors, we believe in a very closed classic, aggressive pressing, low offensive volume and a maximum of 2 goals scored.
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Preview
São Paulo and Palmeiras face at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), in a match for the 10th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 2 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Paulista A1, on 30‑03‑2019, they tied (0‑0). The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 9th and 1st of the league table, it’s also a match between the 16th best team in home matches and the 1st best in away matches.

Analysis São Paulo

The home team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Avaí, by (0‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Atlético Mineiro, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 8 points in away matches, with 4 goals scored and 3 conceded, against 6 points won at their stadium, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Cuiabá by (3‑1). For the league, São Paulo won 6 points out of 12 possible points, after 1 win and 3 draws in the last 4 home matches.

They haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. 24 of their last 30 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches.

Sao Paulo are in a bad moment, have not won for 5 games, having drawn 4 and lost 1 and are looking for a recovery after the break for the Copa América where the team had a lot of time to train and adjust. The team have as the biggest problem the inefficiency of their attack that has scored only 8 goals in 9 rounds, having scored only 2 goals in the last 5 rounds and is the fourth worst of the competition while the defense, on the other hand, is very solid, having suffered only 5 goals and is the second best, being a team that leave few spaces, but have difficulties in the creative sector. 
Playing at home, such as this Saturday's match, São Paulo still have not lost but draw 3 of the 4 games played in the competition, come from 3 consecutive draws and it is worth mentioning that none of these 4 matches had more than 2 goals on the scoreboard. 
For the clash against Palmeiras, coach Cuca will not be able to count on Everton and Liziero, both because of injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Tiago Volpi, Robert Arboleda, Bruno Alves, Reinaldo, Danilo Gomes Magalhaes, Hudson, Luan Santos, Hernanes, Pablo Felipe, Antony, Alexandre Pato.
Coach: T. Carpini Barbosa.

Analysis Palmeiras

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 25 points won, after 8 wins and 1 draw. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Atlético PR, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Avaí, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 15 at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 0 conceded at home, against 6 goals scored and 2 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Copa do Brasil, they got a home win against Internacional by (1‑0). Their last away match was for the Club Friendlies and ended in a loss by (2‑1) against Guarani. In the last 4 away league matches Palmeiras has a record of 3 wins and 1 draw, so they have won 10 points out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 2 of the last 9 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 9 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 9 of the last 9 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 7 of those 9 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 8 of them.

Palmeiras make a spectacular campaign in Série A, are the only undefeated team so far, have won 25 of 27 points they played and are looking for another positive result to remain calm in the leadership. The team are characterized by an excellent balance between the offensive and defensive sectors, so much so that they have the best attack of the competition, with 18 goals in 9 games, and the best defense with only 2 goals suffered, being a team that leave very few spaces, allow few finalization to the opponents and are very efficient arriving at the attack, taking advantage very well of the chances that appear. 
Playing away from home, such as this Saturday's match, Palmeiras have registered 3 wins and 1 draw and have not conceded goals in 2 of these games, and in the other 2, conceded only goal in each, showing again their great defensive power. 
For the game against Sao Paulo, coach Felipão should spare from 5 to 6 athletes of the starting team thinking about the second leg game of the Brazilian Cup, but the team have a bench of enormous quality and their performance should not be greatly affected on account of this.

Confirmed Lineup: Weverton, Edu Dracena, Antônio Carlos, Marcos Rocha, Diogo Barbosa, Thiago Santos, Moisés, Gustavo Scarpa, Zé Rafael, Dudu, Deyverson.
Coach: A. Moreira Ferreira.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the São Paulo vs Palmeiras match, on 13 July 2019, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The São Paulo vs Palmeiras on 13 July 2019 will be played at São Paulo, Estádio Nicolau Alayon.

 

Serie A - 2019

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.42%
  • Draws 25.79%
  • Away team wins 25.79%
  • Over 1.5 66.05%
  • Over 2.5 40.79%
  • Over 3.5 18.16%
  • Goals 876
  • Goals /match 2.31
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 0.92
  • Both teams score 46.84%
  • Goals after 80' 20.66%
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