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Málaga Real Madrid betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be quite unbalanced, considering that the home team makes a bad campaign, has a low quality squad and is very close to relegation, while the away one has a world-class squad and fights between the first placed of the competition. In addition, Malaga has the worst home campaign in La Liga and is the team that scored the least goals in this type of situation, while Real Madrid has the second best away campaign, it is the second team that scored the most goals away from home and has won 4 of the last 5 away games. Given these factors, we believe that even sparing some athletes, Real Madrid win by at least 2 goals difference and if it wins by only 1, the investment will be returned.
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Preview
Málaga and Real Madrid meet at Estadio La Rosaleda, in a match for the 32th round of the Primera División. Real Madrid got a home win by (3‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 25‑11‑2017. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑05‑2017, in a match for the Primera División, Real Madrid won by (0‑2). The goals of the match were scored by Cristiano Ronaldo (2' ) and K. Benzema (55' ) for Real Madrid. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Málaga

The home team is currently in the 20th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 4 wins, 5 draws and 22 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Villarreal, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Deportivo La Coruña, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 18 conceded. For the league, Málaga won 8 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 10 of their last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 7 of the last 31 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 5 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead in 4. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 21 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 15 home matches for this competition: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Malaga makes a campaign below the criticism in the Spanish Championship where it is in the last position for several rounds, is going through a bad moment with only 1 victory in the last 16 rounds and needs an urgent recovery to try to avoid a practically certain relegation, since it is 14 points from the first team outside the relegation zone. The team has a low quality defense that has conceded 48 goals and is the sixth most leaked of the competition, but the biggest problem has been its offensive inefficiency, since it has scored just 19 goals in 31 games and has the worst attack of the competition, has only 3 goals in the last 6 games of La Liga. 
Playing at home, such as this Sunday's match, Malaga has the worst campaign of the league, it is the team that won the least and scored the least goals, evidencing the enormous difficulty of playing well alongside its fans. 
For the very difficult confrontation with Real Madrid, coach José González will not be able to count on defender Luis Hernández due to suspension, an important absence in the already fragile defense of the team.

Confirmed Lineup: Roberto Jiménez, Roberto Rosales, Miguel Torres, Federico Ricca, Ignasi Miquel, Manuel Iturra, Mehdi Lacen, Chori Castro, Diego Rolán, Brown Ideye.
Coach: A. González Morales.

Analysis Real Madrid

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 64 points won, after 19 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Las Palmas, by (0‑3). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Atlético Madrid, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 38 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 42 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got a home loss against Juventus by (1‑3). In the last 10 away league matches Real Madrid has a record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 19 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Real Madrid comes to this game motivated after advancing to the semifinals of the Champions League in a game closely disputed against Juventus and now goes in search of a positive result in La Liga to try to recover the third place that lost to Valencia in the last round. The team is characterized by a powerful attack that has scored 77 goals and is the second best of the competition, while the defense, in turn, still needs some adjustments, since it has suffered 34 goals and is only the fifth less leaked, an unsatisfactory number by the quality of its defenders, so much that it suffered goals in 5 of the last 6 games of the Spanish Championship. 
Playing away from home, such as this Sunday's match, Real Madrid has won 4 of its last 5 games and has the second best performance, as well as being the second team that scored the most and the third that suffered the least goals in this type of the situation, evidencing the great strength that has even far from its dominions. 
For the confrontation against Malaga, coach Zinedine Zidane should spare some athletes after the Champions League clash last Wednesday, but should still go to the field with a strong team and far superior to its opponent.

Confirmed Lineup: Keylor Navas, Carvajal, Theo Hernández, Jesús Vallejo, Sergio Ramos, Casemiro, Mateo Kovačić, Isco, Lucas Vázquez, Asensio, Karim Benzema.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Málaga vs Real Madrid match, on 15 April 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Asian Handicap, Real Madrid -1 ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Málaga vs Real Madrid on 15 April 2018 will be played at Málaga, Estadio La Rosaleda.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Málaga Real Madrid match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Real Madrid at with 96% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2017/2018

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 47.11%
  • Draws 22.63%
  • Away team wins 30.26%
  • Over 1.5 71.05%
  • Over 2.5 50.53%
  • Over 3.5 28.42%
  • Goals 1024
  • Goals /match 2.69
  • Goals /match home 1.55
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 46.58%
  • Goals after 80' 17.68%
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