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Valencia Atlético Madrid betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be Atletico Madrid to score the first goal of the match. We believe that this match will be dominated by the visiting team due to the quality difference between the two teams. So, it will be natural that Atletico Madrid lead the scoreboard in the first and later manage the match, something that happened in the match against Real Madrid.
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Preview
Valencia and Atlético Madrid meet at Estadio de Mestalla, in a match for the 28ª round of the Primeira Divisão. Atlético Madrid got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 25‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 2. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Divisão, on 04‑10‑2014, Valencia won by (3‑1). N. Otamendi (13' ), André Gomes (7' ) e Miranda (6' Autogolo) scored for Valencia and M. Mandžukić (29' ) for Atlético Madrid. Valencia registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Valencia

The home team is currently in the 9ª position of the league, with 34 points won, after 8 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Athletic Club, by (0‑3). In the last match, they won in an away match against o Málaga, by (1‑2). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches o Valencia has a record of 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible.

In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 17 of their 27 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

Valencia comes for this match after an away home victory conquered against Malaga, returning to winning ways after a heavy defeat at home. In this match it’s foreseeable that the coach Gary Neville will play in the usual 4-3-3 privileging the ball possession and paused attacks to attack. In addition, it will be apparent that Valencia uses the flanks to create danger to the enemy. Cheryshev and Feghouli are very fast players and excellent in the carriage of the ball. However, it’s worth mentioning that Valencia has weaknesses in the defensive dead balls and in individual mistakes in most defensive areas. For this match the coach won’t count on Enzo Pérez, Bakkali and Abdennour, all recovering from injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Diego Alves, João Cancelo, Guilherme Siqueira, Shkodran Mustafi, Aderllan Santos, Javi Fuego, Sofiane Feghouli, Enzo Pérez, André Gomes, Denis Cheryshev, Paco Alcácer.
Coach: Voro.

Analysis Atlético

The away team is currently in the 2ª position of the league, with 61 points won, after 19 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Real Madrid, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against a Real Sociedad, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 6 conceded; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Atlético Madrid has a record of 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible.

In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches) and 0‑1 (7 out of 14 matches) and after the 90' 0‑2 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 2 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 2. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 9 of their 21 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Atletico Madrid comes very motivated for this match after the recent results, being important to remember that the team won away home the mighty Real Madrid. Usually the coach Diego Simeone plays in 4-4-2 with Fernando Torres and Antoine Griezmann the most offensive references of the visiting team. The second player has 21 scored goals this season. It’s important to note that the visiting team shows great skill in the dead balls and counter-attack, managing to create danger with few players in the attack. For this match the coach won’t count on Yannick Ferreira-Carrasco, Godín, James and Stefan Savic, because they’re recovering from injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Jan Oblak, Juanfran, Filipe Luís, José Giménez, Lucas Hernández, Saúl, Matías Kranevitter, Koke, Luciano Vietto, Antoine Griezmann.
Coach: G. Fernández Arenas, D. Simeone.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Valencia vs Atlético match, on 6 March 2016, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: First Goal - Atlético de Madrid ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Valencia vs Atlético on 6 March 2016 will be played at Valencia, Estadio de Mestalla.

 

Primera División - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.16%
  • Draws 24.21%
  • Away team wins 27.63%
  • Over 1.5 76.58%
  • Over 2.5 51.58%
  • Over 3.5 28.95%
  • Goals 1043
  • Goals /match 2.74
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 50.26%
  • Goals after 80' 17.64%
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